These Are The Phrases Each GOP Candidate Repeats Most
Words matter in politics, and those words are chosen carefully. In the age of televised debates, campaigns draft and poll-test talking points. Then, like any good sales team, they hammer them home...
View ArticleThese Are The Phrases That Sanders And Clinton Repeat Most
Ahead of the most recent GOP presidential debate, I created a drinking game (OK, linguistic analysis) using a metric called tf-idf that identified each candidate’s most oft-repeated lines. I hope I...
View ArticleA Sanders Comeback Would Be Unprecedented
Dear democratic socialists, political revolutionaries, Bern-feelers at large: We need to have a talk. Let me begin by saying that I bear no ill will towards Mr. Sanders. Nothing that follows should be...
View ArticleWhich Countries’ Terrorist Attacks Are Ignored By The U.S. Media?
UPDATE (Feb. 7, 12:22 p.m.): President Trump attacked the news media on Friday, Feb. 3, for supposedly underreporting acts of terrorism in Western countries. But, as this analysis from July of last...
View ArticleReligion And Education Explain The White Vote
What makes white people tick? This question will occupy campaign strategists and forecasters through November. Given that voters of color have, on the whole, decided resoundingly against Donald Trump,...
View ArticleClinton Leads Trump — And Obama And Reagan — In The Newspaper Endorsement Race
“This year, the choice isn’t between two capable major party nominees who happen to have significant ideological differences. This year, one of the candidates — Republican nominee Donald Trump — is,...
View ArticleWe’re Edging Closer To Nuclear War
Welcome to Bayesian Update, an attempt to take a step back and figure out what’s changed in the world since before President Trump was elected. In each piece, I’ll pose a high-stakes question with a...
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