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Channel: Milo Beckman – FiveThirtyEight
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These Are The Phrases Each GOP Candidate Repeats Most

Words matter in politics, and those words are chosen carefully. In the age of televised debates, campaigns draft and poll-test talking points. Then, like any good sales team, they hammer them home...

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These Are The Phrases That Sanders And Clinton Repeat Most

Ahead of the most recent GOP presidential debate, I created a drinking game (OK, linguistic analysis) using a metric called tf-idf that identified each candidate’s most oft-repeated lines. I hope I...

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A Sanders Comeback Would Be Unprecedented

Dear democratic socialists, political revolutionaries, Bern-feelers at large: We need to have a talk. Let me begin by saying that I bear no ill will towards Mr. Sanders. Nothing that follows should be...

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Which Countries’ Terrorist Attacks Are Ignored By The U.S. Media?

UPDATE (Feb. 7, 12:22 p.m.): President Trump attacked the news media on Friday, Feb. 3, for supposedly underreporting acts of terrorism in Western countries. But, as this analysis from July of last...

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Religion And Education Explain The White Vote

What makes white people tick? This question will occupy campaign strategists and forecasters through November. Given that voters of color have, on the whole, decided resoundingly against Donald Trump,...

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Clinton Leads Trump — And Obama And Reagan — In The Newspaper Endorsement Race

“This year, the choice isn’t between two capable major party nominees who happen to have significant ideological differences. This year, one of the candidates — Republican nominee Donald Trump — is,...

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We’re Edging Closer To Nuclear War

Welcome to Bayesian Update, an attempt to take a step back and figure out what’s changed in the world since before President Trump was elected. In each piece, I’ll pose a high-stakes question with a...

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